Projected Deaths per 100,000 Due to Temperature Change (2040-2059 Annual Average)

The mean projected change in annual death rates per 100,000 people in a country that resulted from the impact of climate change on daily temperature, in contrast to a future scenario where climate change is absent. Data refer to the annual average change for the period 2040-2059 under the Moderate Emissions scenario from the analysis presented by the Climate Impact Lab and UNDP.

Projected Deaths per 100,000 Due to Temperature Change (2040-2059 Annual Average)

Projected Deaths per 100,000 Due to Temperature Change (2040-2059 Annual Average)

Geography Projected Deaths per 100,000 Due to Temperature Change (2040-2059 Annual Average)
WORLD -2
AFRICA 3
NORTHERN AFRICA 10
Algeria 3
Egypt 9
Libya 10
Morocco -10
Sudan 39
Tunisia 4
Western Sahara -1
WESTERN AFRICA 14
Benin 15
Burkina Faso 44
Cape Verde -5
Cote d'Ivoire 10
Gambia 10
Ghana 13
Guinea 6
GuineaBissau 15
Liberia 0
Mali 34
Mauritania 37
Niger 53
Nigeria 6
Senegal 13
Sierra Leone 5
Togo 20
EASTERN AFRICA -8
Burundi -26
Comoros 2
Djibouti 49
Eritrea 0
Ethiopia -16
Kenya -8
Madagascar -14
Malawi -5
Mauritius -3
Mayotte 1
Mozambique 1
Reunion -6
Rwanda -23
Seychelles 3
Somalia 17
South Sudan 4
Tanzania -6
Uganda -5
Zambia -4
Zimbabwe -12
MIDDLE AFRICA 2
Angola -4
Cameroon 5
Central African Republic 10
Chad 37
Congo -2
Congo DR -4
Equatorial Guinea 2
Gabon 1
Sao Tome and Principe -9
SOUTHERN AFRICA -2
Botswana 4
eSwatini -7
Lesotho -22
Namibia -3
South Africa -1
NORTHERN AMERICA -15
Canada -87
United States -6
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN -2
CENTRAL AMERICA 0
Belize 0
Costa Rica -2
El Salvador -4
Guatemala -5
Honduras -7
Mexico 2
Nicaragua -3
Panama 0
CARIBBEAN 1
Antigua and Barbuda 1
Bahamas 5
Barbados 3
Cuba -1
Curacao 6
Dominica -2
Dominican Republic 1
Grenada 2
Guadeloupe 0
Haiti 2
Jamaica 1
Martinique 0
Puerto Rico 6
St. Kitts and Nevis 0
St. Lucia 1
St. Vincent and the Grenadines 0
Trinidad and Tobago 4
SOUTH AMERICA -3
Argentina 1
Bolivia -10
Brazil -3
Chile -9
Colombia -5
Ecuador -4
French Guiana 0
Guyana 3
Paraguay -2
Peru -8
Suriname 1
Uruguay 1
Venezuela 0
ASIA 3
WESTERN ASIA 8
Armenia -23
Azerbaijan 1
Bahrain 17
Cyprus 11
Georgia -14
Iraq 21
Israel 15
Jordan 1
Kuwait 27
Lebanon 4
Oman 10
Palestinian Territory 0
Qatar 27
Saudi Arabia 18
Syria 14
Turkey -2
United Arab Emirates 19
Yemen 1
CENTRAL ASIA -6
Kazakhstan -22
Kyrgyzstan -15
Tajikistan -2
Turkmenistan 6
Uzbekistan 0
SOUTH ASIA 9
Afghanistan -2
Bangladesh 14
Bhutan -11
India 4
Iran 11
Maldives -1
Nepal -2
Pakistan 42
Sri Lanka 4
SOUTHEAST ASIA 1
Brunei -1
Cambodia 4
Indonesia -1
Laos 4
Malaysia 0
Myanmar 8
Philippines 0
Singapore 6
Thailand 2
Timor Leste -3
Vietnam 0
EAST ASIA -5
China -5
China, Hong Kong SAR 22
China, Macao SAR 21
Japan -2
Korea, North -21
Korea, South -23
Mongolia -47
Taiwan 14
EUROPE -37
NORTHERN EUROPE -49
Denmark -52
Estonia -73
Finland -133
Iceland -104
Ireland -24
Latvia -60
Lithuania -49
Norway -116
Sweden -93
United Kingdom -31
WESTERN EUROPE -41
Austria -70
Belgium -34
France -20
Germany -56
Liechtenstein -41
Luxembourg -38
Monaco -8
Netherlands -32
Switzerland -59
EASTERN EUROPE -47
Belarus -46
Bulgaria -15
Czechia -55
Hungary -31
Moldova -19
Poland -49
Romania -26
Russia -56
Slovakia -52
Ukraine -27
SOUTHERN EUROPE -3
Albania -8
Andorra -43
Bosnia Herzegovina -30
Croatia -19
Greece 10
Italy -6
Kosovo N/A
Malta 14
Montenegro -21
North Macedonia -19
Portugal 2
San Marino -18
Serbia -14
Slovenia -40
Spain 5
OCEANIA 11
Australia 19
Federated States of Micronesia 2
Fiji -3
French Polynesia 2
Guam 5
Kiribati 5
Marshall Islands 2
Nauru 4
New Caledonia 5
New Zealand 0
Palau 3
Papua New Guinea -2
Samoa 0
Solomon Islands -1
Tonga -1
Tuvalu 3
Vanuatu -1
Please select a country before applying filter
Geography Projected Deaths per 100,000 Due to Temperature Change (2040-2059 Annual Average)
WORLD -2
AFRICA 3
NORTHERN AFRICA 10
Algeria 3
Egypt 9
Libya 10
Morocco -10
Sudan 39
Tunisia 4
Western Sahara -1
WESTERN AFRICA 14
Benin 15
Burkina Faso 44
Cape Verde -5
Cote d'Ivoire 10
Gambia 10
Ghana 13
Guinea 6
GuineaBissau 15
Liberia 0
Mali 34
Mauritania 37
Niger 53
Nigeria 6
Senegal 13
Sierra Leone 5
Togo 20
EASTERN AFRICA -8
Burundi -26
Comoros 2
Djibouti 49
Eritrea 0
Ethiopia -16
Kenya -8
Madagascar -14
Malawi -5
Mauritius -3
Mayotte 1
Mozambique 1
Reunion -6
Rwanda -23
Seychelles 3
Somalia 17
South Sudan 4
Tanzania -6
Uganda -5
Zambia -4
Zimbabwe -12
MIDDLE AFRICA 2
Angola -4
Cameroon 5
Central African Republic 10
Chad 37
Congo -2
Congo DR -4
Equatorial Guinea 2
Gabon 1
Sao Tome and Principe -9
SOUTHERN AFRICA -2
Botswana 4
eSwatini -7
Lesotho -22
Namibia -3
South Africa -1
NORTHERN AMERICA -15
Canada -87
United States -6
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN -2
CENTRAL AMERICA 0
Belize 0
Costa Rica -2
El Salvador -4
Guatemala -5
Honduras -7
Mexico 2
Nicaragua -3
Panama 0
CARIBBEAN 1
Antigua and Barbuda 1
Bahamas 5
Barbados 3
Cuba -1
Curacao 6
Dominica -2
Dominican Republic 1
Grenada 2
Guadeloupe 0
Haiti 2
Jamaica 1
Martinique 0
Puerto Rico 6
St. Kitts and Nevis 0
St. Lucia 1
St. Vincent and the Grenadines 0
Trinidad and Tobago 4
SOUTH AMERICA -3
Argentina 1
Bolivia -10
Brazil -3
Chile -9
Colombia -5
Ecuador -4
French Guiana 0
Guyana 3
Paraguay -2
Peru -8
Suriname 1
Uruguay 1
Venezuela 0
ASIA 3
WESTERN ASIA 8
Armenia -23
Azerbaijan 1
Bahrain 17
Cyprus 11
Georgia -14
Iraq 21
Israel 15
Jordan 1
Kuwait 27
Lebanon 4
Oman 10
Palestinian Territory 0
Qatar 27
Saudi Arabia 18
Syria 14
Turkey -2
United Arab Emirates 19
Yemen 1
CENTRAL ASIA -6
Kazakhstan -22
Kyrgyzstan -15
Tajikistan -2
Turkmenistan 6
Uzbekistan 0
SOUTH ASIA 9
Afghanistan -2
Bangladesh 14
Bhutan -11
India 4
Iran 11
Maldives -1
Nepal -2
Pakistan 42
Sri Lanka 4
SOUTHEAST ASIA 1
Brunei -1
Cambodia 4
Indonesia -1
Laos 4
Malaysia 0
Myanmar 8
Philippines 0
Singapore 6
Thailand 2
Timor Leste -3
Vietnam 0
EAST ASIA -5
China -5
China, Hong Kong SAR 22
China, Macao SAR 21
Japan -2
Korea, North -21
Korea, South -23
Mongolia -47
Taiwan 14
EUROPE -37
NORTHERN EUROPE -49
Denmark -52
Estonia -73
Finland -133
Iceland -104
Ireland -24
Latvia -60
Lithuania -49
Norway -116
Sweden -93
United Kingdom -31
WESTERN EUROPE -41
Austria -70
Belgium -34
France -20
Germany -56
Liechtenstein -41
Luxembourg -38
Monaco -8
Netherlands -32
Switzerland -59
EASTERN EUROPE -47
Belarus -46
Bulgaria -15
Czechia -55
Hungary -31
Moldova -19
Poland -49
Romania -26
Russia -56
Slovakia -52
Ukraine -27
SOUTHERN EUROPE -3
Albania -8
Andorra -43
Bosnia Herzegovina -30
Croatia -19
Greece 10
Italy -6
Kosovo N/A
Malta 14
Montenegro -21
North Macedonia -19
Portugal 2
San Marino -18
Serbia -14
Slovenia -40
Spain 5
OCEANIA 11
Australia 19
Federated States of Micronesia 2
Fiji -3
French Polynesia 2
Guam 5
Kiribati 5
Marshall Islands 2
Nauru 4
New Caledonia 5
New Zealand 0
Palau 3
Papua New Guinea -2
Samoa 0
Solomon Islands -1
Tonga -1
Tuvalu 3
Vanuatu -1

Endnotes

Sources

2023 World Population Data Sheet

Updated

12/15/2023

2023 World Population Data

For more than 60 years, PRB’s World Population Data Sheet has been one of the most trusted sources for vital demographic data used by government leaders, policymakers, researchers, academics, and decisionmakers around the world. It offers the latest population, health, and environment indicators for more than 200 countries and territories, each carefully researched and vetted by PRB’s expert team of demographers and analysts. This year’s special focus is on climate vulnerability and resilience.

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